Judul : Gove Challenges Inquiry's Claim of 23,000 Deaths from Ministerial Delay
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Gove Challenges Inquiry's Claim of 23,000 Deaths from Ministerial Delay
Lord Gove today challenged the Covid Inquiry's explosive allegations that 23,000 individuals died unnecessarily due tolockdownarrived one week too late.
The ex-minister described Baroness Hallett's conclusion as a 'leap', while a leading scientist stated it was impossible to determine whether the figure was accurate or not.
According to Lady Hallett's research, the severe number of deaths during the initial wave of the outbreak might have been reduced by half if officials had taken action just a week earlier.
She was referencing 'modelling' from the discredited 'Professor Lockdown' Neil Ferguson, who later encountered allegations that his data methods were untrustworthy and who stepped down as a government scientific advisor after violating social distancing rules to meet his married lover.
In response to the £200 million Covid Inquiry's findings, which were widely reported yesterday, Lord Gove stated: 'I believe it's one thing to suggest that locking down a week earlier would have been more sensible - but it's entirely different to jump to the conclusion that 23,000 lives would have been saved as a result.'
He told BBCThe Today programme on Radio 4 stated: 'This specific number was an estimate, not a forecast. The investigation report clearly highlights the need for a deeper comprehension of how models function.'
In 2021, Prof Ferguson's analysis indicated that the death count during the first wave might have been reduced from 48,600 to 25,600. However, his approach came under significant scrutiny throughout the pandemic due to its failure to consider existing measures aimed at curbing transmission.
Oxford University's Carl Henegan, who was also featured on the Today programme, cast more uncertainty on the 23,000 number.
He stated it was impossible to determine whether it was true or not, adding: ‘It's simply unclear to say, if we had implemented lockdown a week earlier, 23,000 lives could have been saved, according to models.’
This was a judicial inquiry, he stated, rather than "an epidemiological type of investigation," and he added, "There was no evaluation of the peer-reviewed research. You would anticipate a systematic review being conducted, considering they have £200 million."
It was suggested to Professor Henegan that the 23,000 number carried 'political significance'—with assertions that it might hinder Prime Minister Boris Johnson's prospects of rejoining frontline politics—and he stated the figure was untrustworthy.
In the meantime, Lord Gove, who admitted to errors committed while in office during the crisis, stated that placing a 'singular focus' on Mr. Johnson's role 'distorts the complexity of decision-making.' He mentioned that the 23,000 figure should not be 'hung around the necks' of Mr. Johnson or his ministers.
He also challenged Lady Hallett's assertion that the severe lockdowns could have been entirely avoided, had officials not acted "too little, too late."
Lord Gove stated, "It's definitely true that some form of limitation on social interaction, on personal freedom, was inevitably necessary to curb the virus's spread."
The 760-page second report from the Covid Inquiry revealed that childhood was 'suspended' due to strict lockdown measures.
Many young lives were harmed even though the 'vast majority' of children were protected from the deadly virus, it noted. Their education and health were compromised to safeguard their older relatives.
Lady Hallett stated, "Measures implemented to safeguard the adult population... halted typical childhood experiences," and noted, "For most children, the shutting down of schools, the inability to meet friends, and the obligation to remain at home had significant effects."
She claimed that scientists, public officials, ministers, and the regional administrations had all not responded quickly enough in early 2020.
However, she praised Mr. Johnson's administration for taking the lead globally in creating a vaccine to resolve the crisis. Lord Gove stated, "Without his determination, we wouldn't have had the vaccine. Its distribution was key to making us the first nation to administer the shots."
Read more- Was it possible to prevent thousands of Covid-related deaths and avoid lockdowns entirely if the UK government had responded more quickly, as suggested by the inquiry?
- Had stricter early Covid measures been implemented, could they have averted the UK lockdowns that caused significant societal harm? Uncover the shocking findings of the investigation!
- Why did the Covid-19 investigation overlook different perspectives and place complete confidence in strict lockdown policies?
- Was the government's slow reaction to the outbreak responsible for unnecessary lockdowns and a significant number of fatalities?
- Was Boris Johnson's decision to close schools during the pandemic an unavoidable 'nightmare,' or was there an alternative approach?
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